Rumsfeld: Trump ‘Absolutely Right’ About Risks Of Terror Infiltration

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Donald Rumsfeld without a doubt sent a shock wave through the Establishment Republicans.

“How is what I’ve said different..?”

Source: Rumsfeld: Trump ‘Absolutely Right’ About Risks Of Terror Infiltration


Politics: Chelsea Clinton promises her mom’s Supreme Court will gut the 2nd Amendment

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This is from CainTV. 

I want to address the Not Trump and the Not Cruz crowd.

You mental midget’s along with the Establishment Republicans are making a clear path to the White House for Hillary.

Wake Up and Grow Up get behind either Cruz or Trump so we can take back the White House.

It has been a DemocRat wet dream for as long as I can remember to gut the Second Amendment and disarm Americans.

I find it ironic that John F.Kennedy a Life Member of the NRA was killed by a Marxist/Socialist Lee Harvey Oswald.

The same Lee Harvey Oswald today would be a DemocRat voter.

Wave buh-bye to your rights.

Back in February, I argued that the death of Antonin Scalia instantly made the 2nd Amendment the biggest issue of the 2016 presidential election.  Since then, Republicans have been busy bickering about transgender bathrooms and who they hate more: Trump or Cruz. While they indulge in that incredible waste of time, the left is cruising toward a future where the Constitution is decimated by a statist Supreme Court pick.

Obama has already nominated Merrick Garland to fill Scalia’s position on the bench. He’s about as anti-2A as they come, and if he’s confirmed, you can be 100% certain that he’ll overturn 2008’s District of Columbia v Heller decision. That would eliminate the concept of gun ownership as an individual right, basically gutting the 2nd Amendment.

He may or may not make it through the nominating process, but rest assured.  If he doesn’t, Hillary can’t wait to appoint someone else who will eliminate your rights. As Chelsea Clinton is all too happy to admit; her mom has plans for Heller…

In other words, “With Scalia dead, we can finally destroy your 2nd Amendment protections the way we’ve always wanted to, and we’re pretty excited about that.”

Remember, these are the people who constantly promise you can keep your plan, you can keep your doctor, and that no one wants to destroy your ability to “hunt and protect your family.”

As we head toward November, never forget that Hillary views the Constitution as nothing more than an insignificant obstacle. At heart, she’s an authoritarian gun-grabber who, if it furthers her agenda and pleases her donors, will gleefully shred every single one of your rights.

GOP Establishment Club Plots Guerilla Warfare to Take Down Donald Trump


This is from Rush

Ever since I came to understand how the Establishment Republicans operate I have developed dislike of them.

Now with the way they are trying to sabotage Donald Trump that dislike has grown into a venomous hatred.

If the Establishment Republicans stay on this destructive course the will be kicking over a hornets nest that will assure their destruction.

If Hillary or Bernie get elected the Establishment Republicans will also see the destruction of America.


RUSH: There is some news in these upcoming primaries. “Poll: Cruz Within Striking Distance of Trump in Arizona — A poll of Arizona Republicans conducted last week but released today shows Donald Trump leading Ted Cruz 31% to 19%, with John Kasich and Marco Rubio tied at 10%. The most encouraging news for Cruz is that the poll finds 30% of Republicans remain undecided. Late deciding voters have broken against Trump in almost every state that has voted so far.”

Now, 31 to 19, that’s a 12-point split. Factor the margin of error in there three to four percent so you’re looking at seven- or eight-point spread here.  “If enough of these voters and Rubio supporters back Cruz, he could pull off an upset and capture all of Arizona’s 58 delegates.” There are 58 delegates at stake here.  That’d be a big hall.  Now,

“Trump is favored to win Tuesday’s primary not only because of his polling advantage, but also because he has the backing of former governor Jan Brewer.” The former governor is popular.  Of course, immigration’s a huge issue in Arizona, and Trump is personally identified with that issue. But it says here (it’s a Weekly Standard story) that “Trump may have hurt himself among these voters by announcing that he was ‘softening’ his position on immigration in a recent debate and showing himself to be ignorant about the details of his own immigration plan in an earlier debate.”

Now, you have to read that, or listen, take it with a grain of salt because that’s from the Weekly Standard which is William Kristol’s magazine. And the New York Times had a big, huge story yesterday: “Republican Leaders Map Strategy to Derail Donald Trump.”  One of the Republican leaders heavily involved is William Kristol of the Weekly Standard.  In addition to that, we have Reince Priebus, chairman of the Republican National Committee who said, “I cannot 100% guarantee that one of the three remaining candidates will be the nominee.” He was asked about a contested convention.

“Well, probably not. You know, people like to talk.”

And then he was hit with the bolt out of the sky.  “Well, can you guarantee the nominee is gonna be one of the three?  Trump, Cruz, Kasich?”

“Well…” He started hedging his bets. “Well, I don’t know.  I don’t think I would 100% guarantee that, no.”

And if you read this New York Times piece on Sunday, you’d understand why. “Republican leaders adamantly opposed to Donald J. Trump’s candidacy are preparing a 100-day campaign to deny him the presidential nomination, starting with an aggressive battle in Wisconsin’s April 5 primary and extending into the summer, with a delegate-by-delegate lobbying effort that would cast Mr. Trump as a calamitous choice for the general election.”

That’s the lede.  The story goes on from there.


RUSH:  Where was the GOP’s 100-day plan to take out Obama?  Anybody remember that plan?  Where’s the GOP’s 100 day-plan to take out Hillary Clinton?  Anybody heard of that plan?  Now, that plan doesn’t exist, either, but they’ve got a 100-day plan to take out Trump.

Now, folks, I’m not particularly eager to be repetitive here because there’s so much new every day, but I want to go back, I’ve spent a couple days here trying to make the case with analogies and everything at my disposal to try to illustrate and inform just precisely how the Republican establishment is not going to sit by and let somebody take away from them what they have.

It’s not just their power.  I mean, that’s a large element of it.  But it’s their entire reason for existing.  Positions of standing in one of the only two major political parties in the country, there’s so much tied to it.  Five of the seven wealthiest counties surround Washington, DC.  The networking there, the contacts, the power structure, the ladder of success that you climb there, it’s well laid out.  It’s perfectly structured.

It is a very exclusionary club, and it is not merit based.  Entry into the club is not something you can just apply for and become a member.  It requires breeding. It requires certain pedigrees and resumes and education and so forth.  It has provided a lot of power, a tremendous amount of wealth, huge self-esteem.  These are people that walk around feeling really big about themselves.  There’s a lot of swagger.

People walk around, they feel very happy with themselves, very powerful, very smug, very confident, because the future is laid out, the structure is what it is.  And members are taken care of.  Everybody’s got everybody’s back.  And the idea that something like this could be busted up with an election?  Sorry.  Not gonna tolerate it.  Not gonna even give that a chance.  They’re going to resist whatever effort is made to wrest power from them, to assume their positions or what have you, which is how they see Trump.

So, despite all the talk that you hear — and I think it’s smoke screen talk — from this establishment member or that particular Republican or that consultant or that lobbyist or whatever, despite talk of unity and coming together, believe me, behind the scenes there is none of that.  Behind the scenes all there is is scheming that is designed to protect what they’ve got.  That’s more important than the party winning elections.  Do not doubt me.

So when I saw this New York Times story headlined:  “Republican Leaders Map a Strategy to Derail Donald Trump,” I believe every word of it.  I think there’s probably even more to it than what the story includes.  But here are some highlights.

“Recognizing that Mr. Trump has seized a formidable advantage in the race, they say that an effort to block him would rely on an array of desperation measures, the political equivalent of guerrilla fighting. There is no longer room for error or delay, the anti-Trump forces say, and without a flawlessly executed plan of attack, he could well become unstoppable,” and that is unacceptable.

“But should that effort falter,” should they fail to stop Trump, and his army of supporters, should that falter, “leading conservatives are prepared to field an independent candidate in the general election, to defend Republican principles and offer traditional conservatives an alternative to Mr. Trump’s hard-edged populism. They described their plans in interviews after Mr. Trump’s victories last Tuesday in Florida and three other states.”

Now, if your reaction is, “Well, wait a minute, that guarantees Hillary.”  Exactly.  And they know it, and they’re fine with it.  Hillary Clinton winning maintains the existing order.  The existing order is not based on winning elections.  If it were, half the people in this club would have been thrown out by now.  Half the people in this club are the reason Republicans don’t win elections, and they’re still there, and they’re still members in good standing of this power structure, whatever name you want to give it.

By throwing a third-party candidate out there where principled conservatives can once again vote to guarantee the continuation of socialist Marxism in the United States, that’s considered a wise move.  Because it preserves what’s important to the establishment.

“The names of a few well-known conservatives have been offered up in recent days as potential third-party standard-bearers, and William Kristol, editor of The Weekly Standard, has circulated a memo to a small number of conservative allies detailing the process by which an independent candidate could get on general-election ballots across the country.

“Among the recruits under discussion are Tom Coburn, a former Oklahoma senator who has told associates that he would be open to running, and Rick Perry, the former Texas governor who was suggested as a possible third-party candidate at a meeting of conservative activists on Thursday.”

So you got that conservative group that met on Thursday that could not come to a consensus, apparently.  This is an entirely different group.  We got the establishment and the conservative groups.  Now, Kristol was not a member of the conservative group.  He’s part of the establishment.  He runs the Weekly Standard.  And I’m sure he thinks, “Who’s gonna read this, who’s gonna want to read this if we’re not in power or if we’re not in charge of the opposition, if we’re not perceived to be in charge of the opposition?”

“Mr. Coburn, who left the Senate early last year to receive treatment for cancer, said in an interview that Mr. Trump ‘needs to be stopped’ and that he expected to back an independent candidate against him. He said he had little appetite for a campaign of his own, but did not flatly rule one out. ‘I’m going to support that person,'” whoever this group comes up with to stop Trump. “‘and I don’t expect that person to be me.’ Trump opponents convened a series of war councils last week to pinpoint his biggest vulnerabilities and consider whether to endorse,” Cruz or Kasich.

You know what gives this up, what exposes this as not being about the party, why are these people not unifying around Ted Cruz?  You got a guy who is second in delegates. You have a guy who is in the Senate.  Look, it’s a rhetorical question.  I know the answer to the question.  It makes the point.  They don’t want any of these three.  They really don’t want Trump and they really don’t want Cruz.  They’re in a panic, they’ve gotta come up with somebody.  Why, if they were serious about winning and unity, why not, if you don’t like Trump, you want to take Trump out, why not unify behind Cruz.

And the fact that they don’t want to do that should be all you need to know about what really is going on here.  It isn’t about winning the presidency, folks.  It’s another in a long line of reasons of why Trump exists and why Trump has supporters.  You go back to these protests which are not protests, these criminal actions, I will guarantee you that Trump supporters, they are made up of a lot of people, folks.

There’s another thing happening, by the way.  The Trump supporter is being presented as a poor, dumb, uneducated, white working class person who lost his manufacturing job ten years ago and wants to blame somebody for his failures.  That’s who they want you to believe Trump supporters are.  It may be the most disadvantaged group in this country to be a member of today, the white working class.  It seems like everybody’s dumping on that group of people.  The white working class, in their view, in their minds, they’re the ones that have gone off to fought the wars. They’re the ones who have voted the existing Republican power structure into office year after year after year.  They are the ones that pay their taxes.  They are the ones who do the work that very few other people in the country want to do, including joining the military.  And now everybody’s dumping on ’em.

Prior to joining Trump, you know what they did?  They were Tea Partiers.  And, by the way, the Tea Party and Trump supporters are not monolithic.  They’re not all poor white — look, let me just call a spade a spade.  What they want you to believe is the average Trump voter is an uneducated hick, white trash, upset over his own or her own personal failures looking to blame somebody else and Trump has come along and given them comfort.

That’s not who they are.  Sure some people in that group might fit that description.  The vast majority of them are Tea Partiers.  The vast majority of them are really middle class, some in the upper middle class, who are fit to be tied.  You look at these protests that — criminal actions that are called protests.  I don’t know how to emphasize this.  Since the 1960s, there has been a building anger and resentment at all of these protesters and everything they’ve gotten away with and everything they have destroyed.

People have sat in their homes and watched this stuff, and they have cursed it.  They have opposed it.  They have wondered why nobody does anything to stop it.  They have wondered why malcontents like this get away with destructive, criminal behavior.  They know it’s not protest.  They know it’s not… These are rent-a-mobs. These are bought and paid for. These are anarchists. These are… They’re a miserable bunch, a miserable lot of collected leftists who are never happy and are never gonna be happy.

They’re bought and paid for, and for years nobody has done a thing about them.  They have been permitted to become what is seen as an active political force for the Democrat Party.  The Republican Party doesn’t stand up to ’em. It tries to coddle them.  The Republican Party doesn’t do what… Trump comes along and simply isn’t taking it, and it’s another reason why people are supportive of Trump.  I mean, there’s a lot tied up in all of this in terms of reasons to explain Trump’s support so forth.

But the great misunderstanding exists inside the Beltway, a great misunderstanding of just who and what the majority American body politic is, who they are, what they think, what their dreams are. That’s foreign territory to people inside the Beltway.  And they are resented to boot.  The Republican Party had a chance to embrace… I never could understand why they wouldn’t embrace the anti-Obama coalition, Obamacare.  There was a built-in majority waiting for the Republican Party to join and become a majority.

And then the Tea Party came along, and they wanted no part of the Tea Party.  The Tea Party presented an opportunity to once again become the majority party, and they wouldn’t unite with the Tea Party.  What do they expect to happen when they reject their own voters, when they reject people that want to support them over and over again, when they mock them and laugh at them and make fun of them? What do they think’s gonna happen when somebody like Trump comes along?



The GOP nomination math: Confusing and complicated

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This is from the National Constitution Center.

My hope is that the Establishment Republicans does not screw the pooch by adopting the  DemocRats          Superdelegates.

As the presidential nomination process heads toward a big April, the twisted math behind picking the next Republican nominee is coming under close scrutiny.

Trump-536The current GOP front runner, Donald Trump, has received most of the votes and delegates in the primaries and caucuses contested so far. Trump has 696 delegates as of March 18th, well ahead of his nearest rival, Ted Cruz, with 424 delegates. That’s led some political observers to say that if Trump’s nomination isn’t inevitable, it is highly likely.

Adding to the confusion is a smaller group of observers who see the possibility of a contested convention in July at Cleveland. Trump needs 1,237 delegates for a first-ballot nomination, and while there are some winner-take-all states coming up, Trump has only taken about 47 percent of possible delegates in the races concluded so far. Using that simple number, these observers think Trump needs to win about 53 percent of the remaining delegates to get that first-ballot nomination.

That is the easy part of the math. Because of the different rules for the remaining Republican primaries and caucuses, there are few clear-cut winner-take-all primaries.

We used the website to look all the primary and caucus rules to get a sense how the voting could progress. There are a lot of variations compared to the Democratic primary system, where the only variables are proportional elections and Super Delegates.

According to the  website, of the 22 states and territories yet to vote for the Republicans, only five have primaries where the one candidate with the most votes in the state automatically gets all the delegates: Arizona, Delaware, Nebraska, New Jersey and South Dakota.

States like Pennsylvania and California, with their huge delegate slates, are considered winner-take-all elections with a catch. In California, there are 53 Congressional districts, each with three votes. The candidate with the most votes within that district gets its three votes. So if Trump wins 25 districts and Cruz wins 25 districts, each gets 75 delegates.

In Pennsylvania, there is a loophole primary, where a proxies for the candidates run in each Congressional district.  But 17 of the state’s 71 delegates go to the winner of the state-wide vote.

And in Trump’s home state, New York, its delegates are part of a winner-take-most process. Of the state’s 95 delegates, 81 are selected in 27 Congressional districts. In each district, if a candidate gets more than 50 percent of the vote, he gets all three votes; if not, the top candidate gets two votes, and second-place finisher gets one vote.

On the surface, it would seem logical that Trump would need to get 53 percent of the popular vote to get 53 percent of its delegates. But using the March 15thIllinois primary as an example, with its loophole, winner-take-all primary rules, Trump took 39 percent of the popular vote but won 78 percent of the delegates. Why? Because Trump swept 10 of the 18 Congressional district races.

Looking at the total remaining delegates remaining, roughly 983 delegates, Trump would need something in the 53-55 percent range to get to the magical 1,237 number. Assuming Trump gets pure winner-take-all states in Arizona and Delaware, and he picks up mandated delegates in Wisconsin, Maryland and Pennsylvania, Trump would be just 405 delegates short of the nomination. And California and its 172 delegates use a format like Illinois that awards all the delegates within each district to one candidate, which favors Trump.

What would hurt Trump could be losses in winner-take-all states New Jersey, Nebraska and South Dakota, and unexpectedly poor showings in the bigger remaining states. Still, in a scenario like that, where Trump gets about 47 percent of delegates, he is short of the nomination by just about 79 delegates. How well Trump will do in a three-candidate contest is another unknown factor.

By April 27, the GOP outcome should be much clearer, since New York, Pennsylvania, Maryland and Connecticut will have voted in the prior week. The primary season concludes on June 7, with 303 delegates at stake in five states, including California and New Jersey. At that point, if Trump hasn’t secured the nomination, his “number to clinch” will be very clear.

And what do the non-political pundits think, like professional betting outfits that offer people a chance to wager on the primary-season outcome? The websiteElection Betting Odds analyzes these “prop bets” from, and it lists Trump as a 70 percent favorite to get the nomination. Other betting sites show similar odds.

Allen West “If The GOP Doesn’t Allow The Voice Of The People To Be Heard, There Will Be A Revolt

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This is from Allen West Republic. 

The Establishment Republicans are hoping for a contested or brokered convention so the can give the nomination to Little Jebbie.

LTC Allen West joined Brian Kilmeade to discuss the current leader of the GOP Presidential contenders for 2016, Donald Trump.

If The GOP Doesn’t Allow The Voice Of The People To Be Heard. Because if people start to believe that there is shenanigans and back door deals going on, there will be a revolt.

The ‘Forgotten Americans’ Are Engaged and the GOP Must Not Fail Them Again

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This is from Fox Nation.

We the silent majority are mad as Hell and we will not stand by and let the Establishment Republicans hand to 2016 election to the DemocRats.

One thing is for sure this 2016 presidential race, the “silent majority” is no longer silent, and everybody knows it.  But who are these people?  Before President Richard Nixon called them the “silent majority,” he called them the “forgotten Americans.”

The forgotten Americans love their families and want a better life for their kids.  The forgotten Americans work hard—they weren’t born on 3rd base and thought they hit a triple.  They worship their God and they go to church.  They pay their taxes and obey the law.

The forgotten Americans believe in American exceptionalism.  When America’s security is threatened, they are always the first to volunteer to defend her.  They understand and appreciate the sacrifices their forefathers made to give them a land of opportunity and freedom.  And they respect and appreciate those in the military and in law enforcement who put on the uniform everyday to protect those freedoms and keep us safe.

Yes, the forgotten Americans love their country, but today believe their government and its leaders have let them down.  They see Judeo-Christian values under attack.  They are concerned about the erosion of the freedoms they cherish.  They worry about America’s economy and each has a family member or knows someone who has looked so long for a job that our government doesn’t even consider them unemployed anymore.

Op-ed: Fractured GOP’s uniter? Mitt Romney is still in the wings

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This is from The Salt Lake Tribune.

I voted for Romney in 2012, I sure as Hell will not vote for him again.

It would not be much of a surprise if the Establishment Republicans try to put in Mitt.

The author of this article is wrong  George Washington was born in 1732 and not 1753.

It was George Washington’s 284th birthday.

Plan B seemed simple enough.

Before George Washington’s 263rd birthday the field of Republican presidential candidates would dwindle down to a precious two — most likely moderates John Kasich and Jeb Bush. Marco Rubio would be the outlier. Donald Trump and his triple comb-over would be but a comic reminder of just how ridiculous things could have become. The mainstream would be firmly in control. Popular vote, not party bosses and brass knuckle dickering, would have shown the door to all the one-trick conservatives and sputtering demagogues.

Instead, the primary in South Carolina leaves the GOP awash in fears that the anti-establishment tsunami sweeping through both parties could carry Trump to the nomination and into the White House.

Such anxieties are premature. The numbers are on plan. Voters are collectively confirming that moderates are the base of the party of Rockefeller and Reagan. The rub is no announced candidate can win the nomination outright, which means the nominee will come by way of negotiation at the party’s convention in July. The process could trigger internecine warfare the likes of which the GOP has not experienced since 1964, when doctrinaire conservatives seized control and propelled the party to its worst defeat ever.

As troubling, none of them can beat Hillary Clinton in November. She is smart, remarkably resilient, and vetted under fire at home and abroad. She has even politely endured the flailing arms and frantic rhetoric of Bernie Sanders.

This is not what Plan B anticipated.

The 2016 election was said to belong to the GOP, never mind the fact that the party has been routinely blowing them since 2008, when Sen. John McCain selected absurd Sarah Palin as his running mate. Trump is this cycle’s Palin. While angry party members and independents love him (like they “Feel The Bern”), the mainstream resists. A recent poll in Utah, the most reliably Republican state in the nation, revealed that a Clinton v. Trump general election would likely be a dead heat. Presciently “Other,” Utah’s faceless third choice, fared just as well.

In Utah, “Other” is a placeholder for their new neighbor Willard Mitt Romney. These dreamers are not alone. In November, a Boston Globe poll claimed Romney would win New Hampshire with 36 percent of the vote were he a candidate, relegating Trump a very distant second place at 14 percent.

Will the Republican muddle persuade Romney (or attract a fresh face like the billionaire former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg)? Most likely, party leaders are already turning to the vetted, reasonably well-liked but always coquettish Romney.

Fully aware that some party faithful believe he is too rich, too disingenuous, too good-looking, and too Mormon likely convinced him to avoid running a third time. Yet, he coyly admits that his wife Ann favors it, despite her ongoing struggle with multiple sclerosis. Their five sons are evenly divided — two approve, two oppose and one is undecided.

The record shows that Mitt Romney craves being needed almost as much as he yearns for redemption.  He was the congenial and focused young leader the founders of Bain & Company drafted to right their off-kilter partnership. Later he mounted an impressive attempt to dislodge the iconic Sen. Edward M. Kennedy. He rebounded, by rescuing squeaky clean Salt Lake City from the taint of corruption brought on by the 2002 Winter Olympic Games and graft at the highest levels of the International Olympic Committee. Then he rushed home to Boston to be redeemed by the liberal Commonwealth that had rejected him just eight years earlier.

Perhaps his newest neighbors in leafy Cottonwood and his summer friends around Lake Winnipesaukee foresaw another Romney opportunity as they sensed disarray in the party. But at this point, don’t expect him to mount a floor fight at the convention. In 2008, he ducked a battle that would have secured him the vice presidential nomination that, instead, went to Palin.

Favorable polling numbers a year ago almost drew him in. His eyebrows raised again in November when the Boston Globe poll showed him trouncing everyone in New Hampshire. And he’s been thinking about it ever since. His chief fund-raiser Spencer Zwick, whom Mitt regards as a sixth son, has long insisted that Romney would answer a call to unite the party. Begging and pleading could do the trick.

If redeemed, the stage will be arranged as he likes it, and just in time for the authentic moderate Romney to emerge. From the outset, that was Mitt’s Plan A.

A brokered GOP convention for Paul Ryan?

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This is from The Hill.

  If the Establishment Republicans give us via a brokered convention Mittens, Little Jebbie or Mohammed Ryan myself and many Conservatives will not vote.
That will give the Hildabeast the presidency.,AAAAAEA-5AE~,7pYsU79IKz2CXW_BSQItHbG6JoyZCfQ5

As we survey the Republican field of presidential candidates, there is an air of disbelief from moderate Republicans, Democrats and independents.

What would lead one to believe a brokered GOP convention would result in a Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) candidacy? Here’s what I see.

We have rumblings from establishment Republicans who have grave concerns about Donald Trump as the potential candidate, and for that matter, Sen. Ted Cruz (Texas) as well.

There are numerous reports of Republican donors holding back from supporting candidates at the same levels that they supported GOP nominee Mitt Romney in the 2012 campaign. As Gregory Devor, a major Republican fundraiser, said, “I cannot commit a dime to anybody because I don’t see a future.” Translation: There is no candidate who is likely to succeed in the general election.

Ryan, who was “convinced” to take on the Speakership of the House, was quoted in The New York Times as saying, “I will use this bully pulpit as effectively as I can,” and continued, “For now, it is the bully pulpit we have.” He really meant “I,” not “we.” He consistently talks about setting a tone that is inclusive and policy-focused with an agenda that is inspirational, inclusive and optimistic. Let us not forget he acquired national campaign experience as Romney’s running mate four years ago.

According to news reports from early December, conservatives were responding with vigorous opposition to reports of a brokered convention. Clearly, conservatives prefer to see the conservative-dominated primary process determine the Republican presidential candidate. A brokered convention opens the door to more old-style politics, where back-room deals might control the outcome.

Who benefits from a brokered convention? If one were to create a storyline with Machiavellian overtones, it might go something like this:

Party insiders, looking at the chaos in the House of Representatives and simultaneously the chaos in the Republican presidential process, ponder to whom they should turn. The obvious choice is Romney, and, maybe as a less obvious choice, Ryan. To set that plot in motion, they create a drama around the selection of the next Speaker of the House, aided by front-runner House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy’s (Calif.) blunder over Benghazi and the consistent chaos created by the Freedom Caucus and other far-right conservatives in the House, and see an opportunity to position Ryan as a savior in the House. They then allow Boehner during his departure period to solve many of the more difficult issues that could disrupt Ryan’s initial few months in office, including a budget deal (that is not done yet but appears close and may be even better), the debt ceiling and the Export-Import Bank. This creates a relatively clear path for Ryan into calendar year 2016, and allows him to establish himself as someone who can work with the majority of his party, possibly the right wing of his party, and many Democrats. If I were creating a mosaic, these would certainly be the pieces that I would want to work with.

Floating the idea of a brokered convention and simultaneously raising the specter of a third Romney candidacy leaves Ryan to continue his work in the House without being subject to damaging debates, scrutiny and television ads, all of which expose the candidate and cost money to defeat.

At the same time, Ryan also has the benefit of being consistently in the news, not as a presidential candidate, but as the Speaker, advancing ideas as opposed to just sound bites. Obviously, we won’t know for a while whether this scenario is true, but nonetheless, the stage is set.

Now let’s circle back to the donors sitting on the sidelines. If a brokered convention was to nominate Ryan, he could then immediately call on the hundreds of millions of dollars sitting on the sideline to support that candidacy. Imagine the positive energy such a move would generate. It is also likely that if the Republican presidential field continues to implode, making incredibly demeaning and racially provocative comments, it is clear that a call for a brokered convention may rise to a crescendo and a ground swell of support for Ryan could emerge.

The selection of Paul Ryan would require the Democratic nominee to pivot and focus on the surprise candidate — a truly Machiavellian opportunity with potentially great results for Republicans.

GOP preparing for contested convention

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This is from The Washington Post. 

Will the Establishment Republicans rig the rules of the convention to caused the convention to be contested?

When the convention gets contested will they give us Little Jebbie, Mittens Romney or the other loser John McCain?


Republican officials and leading figures in the party’s establishment are preparing for the possibility of a brokered convention as businessman Donald Trump continues to sit atop the polls in the GOP presidential race.

More than 20 of them convened Monday near the Capitol for a dinner held by Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus, and the prospect of Trump nearing next year’s nominating convention in Cleveland with a significant number of delegates dominated the discussion, according to five people familiar with the meeting.


Weighing in on that scenario as Priebus and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) listened, several longtime Republican power brokers argued that if the controversial billionaire storms through the primaries, the party’s establishment must lay the groundwork for a floor fight in which the GOP’s mainstream wing could coalesce around an alternative, the people said.


The development represents a major shift for veteran Republican strategists, who until this month had spoken of a brokered convention only in the most hypothetical terms — and had tried to encourage a drama-free nomination by limiting debates and setting an earlier convention date.



Now, those same leaders see a floor fight as a real possibility. And so does Trump, who said in an interview last week that he, too, is preparing.

 Because of the sensitivity of the topic — and because they are wary of saying something that, if leaked, would provoke Trump to bolt the party and mount an independent bid — Priebus and McConnell were mostly quiet during the back-and-forth. They did not signal support for an overt anti-Trump effort.

But near the end, McConnell and Priebus acknowledged to the group that a deadlocked convention is something the party should prepare for, both institutionally within the RNC and politically at all levels in the coming months.

But near the end, McConnell and Priebus acknowledged to the group that a deadlocked convention is something the party should prepare for, both institutionally within the RNC and politically at all levels in the coming months.

[Attacks on Trump just make these voters like him more]

When asked Thursday about the dinner and convention planning, Sean Spicer, the RNC’s chief strategist and spokesman, said: “The RNC is neutral in this process, and the rules are set until the convention begins next July. Our goal is to ensure a successful nomination, and that requires us thinking through every scenario, including a contested convention.”

During the dinner, attendees delved into what exactly a brokered convention would look like. It would happen if no candidate was able to win the nomination on a first-ballot vote, starting a multi-ballot exercise on the floor of the Quicken Loans Arena that could extend for hours until a candidate has secured sufficient support.

Many of the delegates are “bound” on the first ballot, meaning they must support the candidate they chose in primaries or at state conventions. But that restriction would lift if no nominee is chosen. The jockeying for delegates on a second ballot — or third, fourth or fifth — would be intense and full of political dealmaking, thus the term “brokered” convention.

Upon leaving the Monday dinner, several attendees said they would share memos about delegate allocation in each state as well as research about the 1976 convention, the last time the GOP gathered without a clear nominee.

The rules for selection of delegates are complicated — and largely decided state by state. Most states now elect delegates on a proportional basis, with at-large statewide delegates supplemented by delegates awarded by each congressional district.

This makes the task of securing delegates more difficult in many states, because Republican candidates must, in some cases, push for support in overwhelmingly Democratic districts.

They must also qualify for each state’s ballot in order to win any delegates at all, making the arduous series of state-by-state rules governing ballot access a potentially critical factor as well.

The campaign of Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) seems to have mastered the intricacies of state ballot access rules and is said to have qualified in more than 40 states and territories, more than any other candidate.

The emerging consensus at the highest levels of the Republican Party about how the 2016 race could unfold comes after a fresh wave of polls showing Trump leading in early-voting states and nationally, even as he continues to unleash incendiary comments such as his proposal to block Muslims from entering the United States. It also marks the close of a months-long chapter in the campaign when a brokered convention was considered a fanciful concept rather than a possibility that merited serious review.

Conservative radio host William J. Bennett, who served as President Ronald Reagan’s education secretary, said the unrest on the right echoes the run-up to the 1976 GOP convention, when Reagan challenged then-President Gerald Ford. But Bennett called this moment “a little more intense.”

“That said, people shouldn’t be panicking, and I think things will calm down when people in the party leadership realize there are core truths to what Trump is saying and he’s not trying to take down the party. For many conservatives, his candidacy is a positive disruption,” Bennett said. “Let things run their course.”

If anything, he added, the GOP convention “may get a ton of interest. People will want to tune in. They won’t tune in to the Democratic coronation.”

Stuart Stevens, a former adviser to Mitt Romney, said the need to plan for a brokered convention is not necessarily all about Trump.

“Beyond Trump, what you’re seeing is the party bracing for a potential ‘Hunger Games’ scenario where you have a different person win each of the first four primaries and they all have the resources to slug it out until the convention,” Stevens said. “It’s smart to think of contingencies, and if you actually spend time with the numbers, it’s possible someone won’t quickly get the number they need to be the nominee.”

The prix fixe three-course meal at the Source, an Asian fusion restaurant near the Capitol, was part of a regular invitation-only dinner series hosted by Priebus in which he solicits candid input from party leaders. Those familiar with Monday’s deliberations spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe the private matter.

Attendees included Ward Baker, executive director of the National Republican Senatorial Committee; Rob Simms, his counterpart at the National Republican Congressional Committee; Ron Kaufman, an RNC committeeman and Romney confidant; and pollster Linda DiVall. Whit Ayres, an adviser to Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.), and Vin Weber, an ally of former Florida governor Jeb Bush, also were there, among others.

It was not supposed to unfold this way. After Romney’s 2012 defeat, which followed a protracted nomination season, the RNC moved to speed up the process. In August, Priebus predicted a swift and relatively painless nomination contest, two months after Trump jumped in the race. “We’re going to have a nominee probably by the end of March or the beginning of April,” he said on NBC’s “Meet the Press.”

The problem facing the party — a crowded field led by a billionaire firebrand — was evident Thursday, a deadline to qualify for the Virginia presidential primary. According to the state GOP, 13 candidates qualified. Given the acrimony and uncertainty — and the relative ease of fundraising — there is little incentive for any of them to drop out.

RNC members will huddle in January in South Carolina to discuss the convention. Although no rule changes can be implemented until the convention, the people familiar with the dinner gathering said top Republicans would like to begin that winter meeting with more clarity about how the RNC would handle a contested convention.

When asked by The Washington Post last week what he thought about a contested convention, Trump said he is getting ready for one.

“I don’t think it’s going to be a brokered convention,” he said. “But if it is, I’d certainly go all the way — and I think I’d have a certain disadvantage.”

“I’ll be disadvantaged,” he continued. “The dealmaking, that’s my advantage. My disadvantage is that I’d be going up against guys who grew up with each other, who know each other intimately, and I don’t know who they are, okay? That’s a big disadvantage. . . . These kind of guys stay close. They all know each other. They want each other to win.”

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Top GOP official seeks McConnell ouster as Senate leader

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This is from The Washington Times. 

Not only does RINO Mitch McConnell but so should Chairman Reince Priebus as he was responsible, along with the Establishment Republicans for  Mitt Romney.

The House needs to step up and toss Weeping Willie (Boehner) now and not wait for him to leave in October. 

‘GOP brand is being damaged,’ RNC vice chair says


(Associated Press)×9&widgetId=2&trackingGroup=69017

With John Boehner now departing as House speaker, an influentialRepublican Party official is now seeking the ouster of another GOP leader who has frustrated conservatives: Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.

McConnell needs to resign!!” LouisianaGOP Chairman Roger Villere wrote in a Facebook posting.


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